A running track record of political judgmentSingle Forecast View
Status: OpenExpected resolution date: Oct 28, 2026Last updated: Oct 5, 2026
Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.
What is the probability that Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement? As of Oct 5, 2026: the evidence estimate is 63%; the tracked-source panel average is 56%.
Resolution trigger: Final deadline for submitting candidate lists
Evidence estimate
63%
Who called it — by source
Panel average: 56%The articles behind this
125 articlesEvery article the Oracul read on this forecast, newest first. A piece re-read across several snapshots counts once.
- Jerusalem PostOct 5, 2026, 10:07 AMjpost.com
- SrugimOct 4, 2026, 05:53 PMsrugim.co.il
- SrugimOct 2, 2026, 04:15 PMsrugim.co.il
- כיכר השבתSep 29, 2026, 07:18 PMkikar.co.il
- SrugimSep 29, 2026, 11:56 AMsrugim.co.il
- JNSSep 29, 2026, 08:21 AMjns.org
- SrugimSep 28, 2026, 10:06 PMsrugim.co.il
- Jerusalem PostSep 27, 2026, 08:26 PMjpost.com
- Jerusalem PostSep 27, 2026, 08:19 PMjpost.com
- JNSSep 27, 2026, 02:57 PMjns.org
- Daniel AmramSep 25, 2026, 12:51 PMt.me
- כיכר השבת; יוני גבאיSep 25, 2026, 11:29 AMkikar.co.il
- Jerusalem PostSep 24, 2026, 04:10 PMjpost.com
- Zein Khalil; Mohammad SioSep 23, 2026, 11:02 PMaa.com.tr
- Al JazeeraSep 23, 2026, 03:50 PMaljazeera.net
- SrugimSep 23, 2026, 03:28 PMsrugim.co.il
- Ikrame KouachiSep 23, 2026, 12:13 PMaa.com.tr
- כיכר השבת; קובי ישראלSep 23, 2026, 06:35 AMkikar.co.il
- YnetSep 22, 2026, 01:49 AMynet.co.il
- Khaled Yousef; Ikram KouachiSep 21, 2026, 04:32 PMaa.com.tr
Show all 125 articles
- כיכר השבת; יוני גבאיSep 19, 2026, 07:51 PMkikar.co.il
- Lina AltawellSep 18, 2026, 03:22 PMaa.com.tr
- Nadav Eyal · YnetSep 18, 2026, 12:09 AMynet.co.il
- SrugimSep 17, 2026, 10:24 AMsrugim.co.il
- SrugimSep 17, 2026, 09:33 AMsrugim.co.il
- YnetSep 16, 2026, 08:22 PMynet.co.il
- SrugimSep 16, 2026, 09:21 AMsrugim.co.il
- Amit SegalSep 15, 2026, 02:08 PMnewsletter.amitsegal.net
- WallaSep 14, 2026, 10:03 PMnews.walla.co.il
- Abdel Raouf Arnaout; Lina AltawellSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMaa.com.tr
- Abderaouf Arnaout; Ikram KouachiSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMaa.com.tr
- Zein Khalil; Rania AbushamalaSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMaa.com.tr
- Al JazeeraSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMaljazeera.net
- Al JazeeraSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMaljazeera.net
- Jerusalem PostSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMjpost.com
- SrugimSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMsrugim.co.il
- YnetSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMynet.co.il
- YnetSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMynet.co.il
- YnetSep 14, 2026, 04:22 PMynet.co.il
- Al JazeeraSep 12, 2026, 08:01 PMaljazeera.net
- Jerusalem PostSep 10, 2026, 09:31 PMjpost.com
- SrugimSep 10, 2026, 06:37 PMsrugim.co.il
- Abdel Ra'ouf Arnaout; Serdar DincelSep 8, 2026, 02:02 AMaa.com.tr
- Al JazeeraSep 7, 2026, 10:52 AMaljazeera.net
- SrugimSep 7, 2026, 09:21 AMsrugim.co.il
- Ben Caspit · Jerusalem PostSep 5, 2026, 04:50 PMjpost.com
- Ben CaspitSep 5, 2026, 04:50 PMt.me
- Jerusalem PostSep 3, 2026, 09:14 PMjpost.com
- Amit SegalSep 3, 2026, 02:15 PMnewsletter.amitsegal.net
- Amos HarelSep 2, 2026, 08:02 AMforeignaffairs.com
- Anna Barsky · Jerusalem PostAug 30, 2026, 12:11 PMjpost.com
- Jerusalem PostAug 28, 2026, 01:30 PMjpost.com
- WallaAug 28, 2026, 08:33 AMnews.walla.co.il
- SrugimAug 27, 2026, 09:59 PMsrugim.co.il
- Rina BassistAug 27, 2026, 05:32 PMal-monitor.com
- Zein Khalil; Serdar DincelAug 27, 2026, 05:34 AMaa.com.tr
- SrugimAug 26, 2026, 01:27 PMsrugim.co.il
- Jerusalem PostAug 25, 2026, 01:53 AMjpost.com
- BBC NewsAug 23, 2026, 09:36 AMbbc.com
- Jerusalem PostAug 21, 2026, 08:25 AMjpost.com
- SrugimAug 20, 2026, 09:58 AMsrugim.co.il
- SrugimAug 18, 2026, 09:22 PMsrugim.co.il
- Le MondeAug 18, 2026, 04:25 PMlemonde.fr
- TOI World DeskAug 16, 2026, 07:34 AMtimesofindia.indiatimes.com
- SrugimAug 13, 2026, 03:03 PMsrugim.co.il
- SrugimAug 13, 2026, 11:05 AMsrugim.co.il
- MaarivAug 12, 2026, 10:40 PMmaariv.co.il
- SrugimAug 12, 2026, 06:29 PMsrugim.co.il
- Al JazeeraAug 11, 2026, 03:25 PMaljazeera.net
- Jerusalem PostAug 11, 2026, 01:05 AMjpost.com
- MaarivAug 10, 2026, 11:51 AMmaariv.co.il
- Guy BechorAug 10, 2026, 11:09 AMt.me
- SrugimAug 8, 2026, 11:03 AMsrugim.co.il
- YnetAug 8, 2026, 03:48 AMynet.co.il
- Jerusalem PostAug 7, 2026, 01:44 PMjpost.com
- Middle East EyeAug 7, 2026, 10:11 AMmiddleeasteye.net
- Jerusalem PostAug 7, 2026, 09:40 AMjpost.com
- WallaAug 7, 2026, 09:23 AMnews.walla.co.il
- MaarivAug 6, 2026, 06:20 PMmaariv.co.il
- MaarivAug 6, 2026, 05:56 PMmaariv.co.il
- MaarivAug 6, 2026, 05:27 PMmaariv.co.il
- Amit SegalAug 6, 2026, 04:56 PMnewsletter.amitsegal.net
- BBC NewsAug 6, 2026, 01:50 AMbbc.com
- Al JazeeraAug 5, 2026, 09:12 PMaljazeera.net
- YnetAug 3, 2026, 04:30 PMynet.co.il
- Jerusalem PostJul 30, 2026, 01:58 AMjpost.com
- Maayan Lubell JulJul 29, 2026, 11:50 AMal-monitor.com
- Jerusalem PostJul 28, 2026, 04:38 PMjpost.com
- Middle East EyeJul 28, 2026, 03:23 PMmiddleeasteye.net
- Jerusalem PostJul 28, 2026, 06:59 AMjpost.com
- Middle East EyeJul 27, 2026, 03:45 PMmiddleeasteye.net
- Gianluca Pacchiani; Jay Deshmukh JulJul 27, 2026, 05:58 AMal-monitor.com
- Al JazeeraJul 27, 2026, 05:58 AMaljazeera.net
- Al JazeeraJul 26, 2026, 03:17 AMaljazeera.com
- YnetJul 25, 2026, 04:33 PMynet.co.il
- Al JazeeraJul 24, 2026, 03:10 PMaljazeera.net
- Jerusalem PostJul 24, 2026, 09:08 AMjpost.com
- YnetJul 24, 2026, 12:14 AMynet.co.il
- Jerusalem PostJul 22, 2026, 02:19 AMjpost.com
- WallaJul 21, 2026, 10:17 AMnews.walla.co.il
- pbs.orgJul 21, 2026, 02:10 AMpbs.org
- Al JazeeraJul 20, 2026, 01:09 PMaljazeera.net
- Al JazeeraJul 19, 2026, 11:49 PMaljazeera.net
- Ben CaspitJul 19, 2026, 03:46 PMt.me
- Marianna BelenkayaJul 17, 2026, 02:52 PMt.me
- Al JazeeraJul 17, 2026, 01:10 PMaljazeera.com
- Jerusalem PostJul 17, 2026, 09:34 AMjpost.com
- BBC NewsJul 16, 2026, 08:15 PMbbc.com
- Middle East EyeJul 16, 2026, 03:34 PMmiddleeasteye.net
- Jerusalem PostJul 16, 2026, 02:09 PMjpost.com
- Jerusalem PostJul 16, 2026, 12:48 PMjpost.com
- Jerusalem PostJul 16, 2026, 10:40 AMjpost.com
- Jerusalem PostJul 16, 2026, 09:32 AMjpost.com
- Jerusalem PostJul 16, 2026, 07:38 AMjpost.com
- Anna Barsky · Jerusalem PostJul 16, 2026, 06:14 AMjpost.com
- WallaJul 16, 2026, 04:55 AMnews.walla.co.il
- YnetJul 16, 2026, 04:23 AMynet.co.il
- YnetJul 16, 2026, 03:48 AMynet.co.il
- YnetJul 15, 2026, 10:41 PMynet.co.il
- al-monitor.comJul 15, 2026, 10:15 PMal-monitor.com
- al-monitor.comJul 15, 2026, 09:28 PMal-monitor.com
- Rina BassistJul 15, 2026, 09:28 PMal-monitor.com
- Al JazeeraJul 15, 2026, 09:28 PMaljazeera.com
- Al JazeeraJul 15, 2026, 09:28 PMaljazeera.net
- Emma Graham-HarrisonJul 15, 2026, 09:28 PMtheguardian.com
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