Amit Segal

About

Israeli journalist; political commentator for Channel 12 News and a political columnist for Yedioth Ahronoth.

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How accurate has Amit Segal been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.

Forecasts covered

16 / 27

Articles cited

Brier / Track Record

0.3

Poor (6)

Last seen

Oct 5, 2026

Forecast	Confidence	Confidence Over Time
Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.	90
Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.	90
Yoav Segalovitz will be a candidate on the Ra'am party list in the next Knesset elections.	83
A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.	75
Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.	59
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.	56
The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.	56
Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.	54
Benny Gantz's party will run in the 2026 elections without an electoral alliance with another party until the deadline for submitting lists to the Central Elections Committee.	50
Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.	46
Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.	41
Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.	32
At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.	31
The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.	24
Naftali Bennett will be sworn in as the next Prime Minister of Israel.	10
Itamar Ben-Gvir will not reserve a spot for Hanoch Milwidsky on the Otzma Yehudit party list for the next general elections in Israel.	0

Recent articles

The looming crisis no one in israel is preparing for
jns.orgOct 5, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.
t.me
Oct 5, 2026The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
t.me
Sep 28, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.
t.me
Sep 20, 2026The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.
Its noon in israel the most important
newsletter.amitsegal.netSep 15, 2026Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.
t.me
Sep 13, 2026The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.
t.me
Sep 9, 2026A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.
t.me
Sep 9, 2026At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.
t.me
Sep 7, 2026Benny Gantz's party will run in the 2026 elections without an electoral alliance with another party until the deadline for submitting lists to the Central Elections Committee.
t.me
Sep 7, 2026At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.
t.me
Sep 6, 2026Yoav Segalovitz will be a candidate on the Ra'am party list in the next Knesset elections.
Its noon in israel ben gvir positions
newsletter.amitsegal.netSep 6, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.