A running record of political judgmentSingle Forecast View
Status: OpenExpected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027Last updated: Aug 21, 2026
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
What is the probability that Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026? As of Aug 21, 2026: the AI estimate is 50%; the tracked-source panel average is 50%.
Resolution trigger: Final deadline for submitting candidate lists
Who called it — by source
Panel average: 50%| Source / Person | Confidence | Confidence Over Time | Brier / Track Record |
|---|---|---|---|
Amit Segal Person | 49 | Aug 6, 2026, 04:04 PM Aug 6, 2026, 04:56 PM Aug 18, 2026, 02:18 PM | — |
Ben Caspit Person | 50 | Jul 14, 2026, 06:11 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:58 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 18, 2026, 08:24 PM Jul 27, 2026, 11:53 AM Aug 10, 2026, 11:23 AM Aug 12, 2026, 02:10 PM Aug 12, 2026, 06:32 PM | 0.42 · Poor (1) |
Nadav Eyal Person | 15 as of Jul 15, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026, 11:47 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:05 PM | — |
Tal Shalev Person | 30 as of Jul 14, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026, 09:18 PM | — |
Anna Barsky Person | 36 | Aug 7, 2026, 08:55 AM | — |
Hananya Naftali Person | 70 | Jul 14, 2026, 08:17 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:11 PM Jul 24, 2026, 08:23 PM Aug 6, 2026, 04:36 PM Aug 7, 2026, 01:18 AM Aug 9, 2026, 03:11 AM Aug 10, 2026, 02:41 PM Aug 10, 2026, 05:09 PM | — |
Walla Outlet | 59 | Jul 14, 2026, 09:18 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:24 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 27, 2026, 02:40 PM Aug 11, 2026, 04:00 PM Aug 18, 2026, 01:11 PM Aug 19, 2026, 05:05 PM | 0.03 · Excellent (1) |
Maariv Outlet | 56 | Aug 6, 2026, 05:30 PM Aug 9, 2026, 08:19 PM Aug 11, 2026, 12:45 PM Aug 12, 2026, 06:10 AM Aug 12, 2026, 11:57 PM | — |
Srugim Outlet | 54 | Aug 8, 2026, 11:27 AM Aug 9, 2026, 02:09 PM Aug 11, 2026, 06:04 PM Aug 12, 2026, 10:28 AM Aug 12, 2026, 07:03 PM Aug 12, 2026, 07:28 PM Aug 13, 2026, 03:25 PM Aug 17, 2026, 10:41 AM Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 AM Aug 18, 2026, 09:12 PM Aug 19, 2026, 07:13 PM | — |
Israel National News Outlet | 53 | Jul 10, 2026, 12:08 AM Jul 12, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:17 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:58 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:36 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:29 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:48 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:56 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:58 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:54 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:04 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:10 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:59 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:21 PM Jul 16, 2026, 05:48 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:08 PM Jul 16, 2026, 07:12 PM Jul 24, 2026, 05:30 PM Jul 27, 2026, 11:32 AM Jul 27, 2026, 11:53 AM Jul 27, 2026, 12:44 PM Jul 27, 2026, 02:40 PM Jul 27, 2026, 03:31 PM | — |
Le Monde Outlet | 53 | — | |
Jerusalem Post Outlet | 52 | Jun 19, 2026, 10:03 PM Jul 3, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 4, 2026, 02:14 AM Jul 12, 2026, 09:49 PM | 0.05 · Excellent (1) |
Middle East Eye Outlet | 52 | Jun 15, 2026, 10:21 PM Jun 19, 2026, 10:03 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:41 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:01 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:21 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:40 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:23 PM Jul 17, 2026, 09:52 AM Jul 27, 2026, 03:31 PM Jul 29, 2026, 12:41 AM Jul 29, 2026, 09:49 AM | 0 · Excellent (1) |
Ynet Outlet | 50 | Jun 24, 2026, 01:47 PM Jun 27, 2026, 02:04 PM Jun 30, 2026, 10:52 PM Jul 3, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 3, 2026, 02:13 PM Jul 4, 2026, 02:14 AM Jul 10, 2026, 12:08 AM Jul 11, 2026, 08:41 PM Jul 12, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 14, 2026, 04:10 PM Jul 14, 2026, 10:39 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:47 PM Jul 15, 2026, 12:28 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:06 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:58 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:10 PM Jul 15, 2026, 02:43 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:05 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:23 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:14 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:58 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 04:46 PM Jul 16, 2026, 05:52 PM Jul 17, 2026, 05:35 AM Jul 17, 2026, 06:34 AM Jul 17, 2026, 07:31 AM Jul 17, 2026, 07:49 AM Jul 17, 2026, 10:21 AM Jul 17, 2026, 11:11 AM Jul 17, 2026, 11:20 AM Jul 17, 2026, 11:38 AM Jul 17, 2026, 02:49 PM Jul 17, 2026, 05:34 PM Jul 18, 2026, 09:49 AM Jul 19, 2026, 04:10 AM Jul 19, 2026, 09:55 AM Jul 20, 2026, 04:14 PM Jul 28, 2026, 06:51 AM Jul 28, 2026, 10:14 PM Jul 29, 2026, 07:15 AM Jul 29, 2026, 12:31 PM Jul 30, 2026, 01:36 AM Aug 3, 2026, 12:20 AM Aug 4, 2026, 09:25 AM Aug 6, 2026, 03:44 PM Aug 7, 2026, 07:37 PM Aug 8, 2026, 05:14 AM Aug 10, 2026, 11:23 AM Aug 10, 2026, 11:44 PM Aug 11, 2026, 09:11 AM Aug 11, 2026, 03:12 PM Aug 12, 2026, 12:34 AM Aug 12, 2026, 11:24 PM Aug 17, 2026, 10:41 AM Aug 19, 2026, 12:17 AM | 0.11 · Good (1) |
BBC News Outlet | 49 | — | |
Al Jazeera Outlet | 38 | Jun 13, 2026, 09:49 AM Jun 13, 2026, 10:18 AM Jun 15, 2026, 10:21 PM Jun 19, 2026, 10:03 PM Jun 24, 2026, 01:47 PM Jun 27, 2026, 02:04 PM Jun 30, 2026, 10:52 PM Jul 3, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 3, 2026, 02:13 PM Jul 4, 2026, 02:14 AM Jul 7, 2026, 08:24 PM Jul 8, 2026, 08:53 PM Jul 9, 2026, 02:26 PM Jul 10, 2026, 12:08 AM Jul 10, 2026, 02:46 AM Jul 12, 2026, 11:52 PM Jul 13, 2026, 12:54 AM Jul 13, 2026, 01:04 PM Jul 13, 2026, 09:19 PM Jul 13, 2026, 09:27 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:11 AM Jul 14, 2026, 11:41 AM Jul 14, 2026, 01:36 PM Jul 14, 2026, 03:14 PM Jul 14, 2026, 03:57 PM Jul 14, 2026, 04:10 PM Jul 14, 2026, 04:51 PM Jul 14, 2026, 06:11 PM Jul 14, 2026, 06:50 PM Jul 14, 2026, 07:15 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:17 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:58 PM Jul 14, 2026, 09:18 PM Jul 14, 2026, 10:17 PM Jul 14, 2026, 10:39 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:47 PM Jul 15, 2026, 12:28 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:36 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:29 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:48 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:41 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:01 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:56 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:06 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:35 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:58 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:24 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:54 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:04 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:41 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:47 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:10 PM Jul 15, 2026, 02:43 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:05 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:59 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:21 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:51 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:25 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:33 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:51 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:40 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:40 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:56 PM Jul 15, 2026, 08:14 PM Jul 15, 2026, 09:14 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:23 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:14 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:58 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:24 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:53 AM Jul 16, 2026, 04:56 AM Jul 16, 2026, 05:48 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 16, 2026, 09:24 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:11 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:00 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:23 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:50 PM Jul 16, 2026, 04:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 04:46 PM Jul 16, 2026, 05:52 PM Jul 16, 2026, 06:08 PM Jul 16, 2026, 07:12 PM Jul 16, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 16, 2026, 09:39 PM Jul 16, 2026, 09:57 PM Jul 16, 2026, 11:32 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:16 AM Jul 17, 2026, 01:53 AM Jul 17, 2026, 02:17 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:08 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:40 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:08 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:35 AM Jul 17, 2026, 06:34 AM Jul 17, 2026, 07:31 AM Jul 17, 2026, 07:49 AM Jul 17, 2026, 08:15 AM Jul 17, 2026, 08:38 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:11 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:26 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:52 AM Jul 17, 2026, 10:21 AM Jul 17, 2026, 11:11 AM Jul 17, 2026, 12:18 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:13 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:39 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:49 PM Jul 17, 2026, 05:27 PM Jul 17, 2026, 06:43 PM Jul 17, 2026, 10:29 PM Jul 18, 2026, 01:47 AM Jul 18, 2026, 05:24 AM Jul 18, 2026, 09:49 AM Jul 18, 2026, 08:24 PM Jul 19, 2026, 04:10 AM Jul 19, 2026, 09:55 AM Jul 19, 2026, 09:09 PM Jul 19, 2026, 11:50 PM Jul 20, 2026, 01:05 PM Jul 20, 2026, 04:14 PM Jul 20, 2026, 06:19 PM Jul 21, 2026, 02:09 AM Jul 21, 2026, 08:57 PM Jul 22, 2026, 06:25 AM Jul 22, 2026, 11:17 AM Jul 22, 2026, 08:30 PM Jul 23, 2026, 09:16 AM Jul 24, 2026, 09:09 AM Jul 24, 2026, 10:58 AM Jul 24, 2026, 11:21 AM Jul 24, 2026, 05:30 PM Jul 24, 2026, 06:07 PM Jul 24, 2026, 07:43 PM Jul 24, 2026, 08:23 PM Jul 25, 2026, 07:53 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:10 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:20 PM Jul 26, 2026, 03:18 AM Jul 26, 2026, 05:51 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 26, 2026, 09:28 AM Jul 26, 2026, 04:24 PM Jul 26, 2026, 11:08 PM Jul 27, 2026, 11:32 AM Jul 27, 2026, 11:53 AM Jul 27, 2026, 12:17 PM Jul 27, 2026, 12:44 PM Jul 27, 2026, 02:40 PM Jul 27, 2026, 03:31 PM Aug 3, 2026, 09:47 PM Aug 9, 2026, 05:39 AM Aug 9, 2026, 03:06 PM Aug 10, 2026, 11:10 AM Aug 19, 2026, 11:38 PM Aug 20, 2026, 08:05 PM Aug 21, 2026, 02:47 PM | 0.17 · Good (1) |
Ynetnews Outlet | 34 | Aug 12, 2026, 02:35 AM | 0.06 · Excellent (1) |
JNS Outlet | 0 as of Jul 15, 2026 | Jul 11, 2026, 10:12 PM Jul 12, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 14, 2026, 10:17 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:48 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:41 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:01 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:06 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:58 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:24 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:54 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:47 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:21 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:51 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:25 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:33 PM | — |
Kirill Semenov Other source | 85 | Aug 12, 2026, 12:38 PM | — |
Jul Other source | 65 | Jul 24, 2026, 06:07 PM | — |
chinadailyhk.com Other source | 65 | Aug 17, 2026, 07:20 AM | — |
Bettina Meier Other source | 64 as of Jul 17, 2026 | Jul 17, 2026, 06:43 PM | — |
tagesschau.de Other source | 64 | — | — |
Bethan McKernan Other source | 64 | Aug 17, 2026, 07:30 AM Aug 18, 2026, 07:41 AM | — |
Ashleigh Fields Other source | 63 | Aug 9, 2026, 05:07 PM | — |
Mohammad Sio Other source | 62 | Jul 27, 2026, 11:32 AM Aug 17, 2026, 05:09 PM | — |
aa.com.tr Other source | 60 | — | — |
iranherald.com Other source | 60 | Aug 15, 2026, 04:59 AM | — |
Curtis Houck Other source | 60 | Aug 20, 2026, 02:26 AM | — |
David E Rosenberg Other source | 59 | Aug 6, 2026, 10:45 PM | — |
foreignpolicy.com Other source | 59 | — | — |
Zein Khalil; Serdar Dincel Other source | 59 | Aug 10, 2026, 11:23 AM Aug 17, 2026, 05:09 PM | — |
«Ազատություն» Ռ; Կ Other source | 58 as of Jul 16, 2026 | Jul 16, 2026, 04:46 PM | — |
azatutyun.am Other source | 58 | — | — |
Tamila Varshalomidze; Mersiha Gadzo Other source | 57 | Aug 18, 2026, 03:28 AM | — |
NEWS WIRES Other source | 56 | Aug 17, 2026, 05:12 AM | — |
Abdel Raouf Arnaout; Mohammad Sio Other source | 51 | Jul 15, 2026, 04:51 PM Aug 17, 2026, 05:09 PM | — |
Lisa Hornung Other source | 51 | Aug 9, 2026, 06:13 PM | — |
upi.com Other source | 51 | — | — |
Marianna Belenkaya Other source | 45 | Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 AM Jul 29, 2026, 07:15 AM | — |
Emma Graham-Harrison Other source | 43 | Jul 13, 2026, 09:27 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:11 AM Jul 14, 2026, 11:41 AM Jul 14, 2026, 01:36 PM Jul 14, 2026, 03:14 PM Jul 14, 2026, 03:57 PM Jul 14, 2026, 04:10 PM Jul 14, 2026, 04:51 PM Jul 14, 2026, 06:11 PM Jul 14, 2026, 06:50 PM Jul 14, 2026, 07:15 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:17 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:58 PM Jul 14, 2026, 09:18 PM Jul 14, 2026, 10:17 PM Jul 14, 2026, 10:39 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:47 PM Jul 15, 2026, 12:28 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:36 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:29 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:48 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:41 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:01 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:56 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:06 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:35 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:58 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:24 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:54 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:04 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:41 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:47 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:10 PM Jul 15, 2026, 02:43 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:05 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:59 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:21 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:51 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:25 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:33 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:51 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:40 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:40 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:56 PM Jul 15, 2026, 08:14 PM Jul 15, 2026, 09:14 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:23 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:14 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:58 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:24 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:53 AM Jul 16, 2026, 04:56 AM Jul 16, 2026, 05:48 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 16, 2026, 09:24 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:11 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:00 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:23 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:50 PM Jul 16, 2026, 04:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 05:52 PM Jul 16, 2026, 06:08 PM Jul 16, 2026, 07:12 PM Jul 16, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 16, 2026, 09:39 PM Jul 16, 2026, 09:57 PM Jul 16, 2026, 11:32 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:16 AM Jul 17, 2026, 01:53 AM Jul 17, 2026, 02:17 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:08 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:40 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:08 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:35 AM Jul 17, 2026, 06:34 AM Jul 17, 2026, 07:31 AM Jul 17, 2026, 07:49 AM Jul 17, 2026, 08:15 AM Jul 17, 2026, 08:38 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:11 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:26 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:52 AM Jul 17, 2026, 10:21 AM Jul 17, 2026, 11:11 AM Jul 17, 2026, 12:18 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:13 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:39 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:49 PM Jul 17, 2026, 05:27 PM Jul 17, 2026, 06:43 PM Jul 17, 2026, 10:29 PM Jul 18, 2026, 01:47 AM Jul 18, 2026, 05:24 AM Jul 18, 2026, 09:49 AM Jul 18, 2026, 08:24 PM Jul 19, 2026, 04:10 AM Jul 19, 2026, 09:55 AM Jul 19, 2026, 09:09 PM Jul 19, 2026, 11:50 PM Jul 20, 2026, 01:05 PM Jul 20, 2026, 06:19 PM Jul 21, 2026, 02:09 AM Jul 21, 2026, 08:57 PM Jul 22, 2026, 06:25 AM Jul 22, 2026, 11:17 AM Jul 22, 2026, 08:30 PM Jul 23, 2026, 09:16 AM Jul 24, 2026, 09:09 AM Jul 24, 2026, 10:58 AM Jul 24, 2026, 11:21 AM Jul 24, 2026, 05:30 PM Jul 24, 2026, 06:07 PM Jul 24, 2026, 07:43 PM Jul 24, 2026, 08:23 PM Jul 25, 2026, 07:53 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:10 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:20 PM Jul 26, 2026, 03:18 AM Jul 26, 2026, 05:51 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 26, 2026, 09:28 AM Jul 26, 2026, 04:24 PM Jul 26, 2026, 11:08 PM | 0 · Excellent (1) |
Morad Elsana Other source | 43 | Jul 14, 2026, 11:11 AM Aug 18, 2026, 06:15 AM | — |
Aaron David Miller; Daniel C Kurtzer Other source | 41 | Aug 19, 2026, 09:10 PM | — |
al-monitor.com Other source | 40 | Jul 12, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 12, 2026, 11:52 PM Jul 13, 2026, 12:54 AM Jul 13, 2026, 01:04 PM Jul 13, 2026, 09:19 PM Jul 13, 2026, 09:27 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:47 AM Jul 24, 2026, 09:09 AM Jul 24, 2026, 10:58 AM Jul 24, 2026, 11:21 AM Jul 24, 2026, 05:30 PM Jul 24, 2026, 06:07 PM Jul 24, 2026, 07:43 PM Jul 24, 2026, 08:23 PM Jul 25, 2026, 07:53 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:10 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:20 PM Jul 26, 2026, 05:51 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 26, 2026, 09:28 AM Jul 26, 2026, 04:24 PM | 0.41 · Poor (1) |
thehill.com Other source | 40 as of Jul 17, 2026 | Jul 17, 2026, 11:45 AM | — |
en.globes.co.il Other source | 39 | Aug 9, 2026, 01:00 PM | — |
Maayan Lubell Jul Other source | 38 | Jul 29, 2026, 11:50 AM | — |
Shaun TANDON Aug 9 Other source | 37 | Aug 9, 2026, 04:41 PM | — |
Andrew Roth Other source | 35 as of Jul 14, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026, 01:36 PM | — |
theguardian.com Other source | 35 | — | — |
pbs.org Other source | 35 | Jul 21, 2026, 02:09 AM Jul 21, 2026, 08:57 PM Jul 22, 2026, 06:25 AM Jul 22, 2026, 11:17 AM Jul 22, 2026, 08:30 PM Jul 23, 2026, 09:16 AM Jul 24, 2026, 09:09 AM Jul 24, 2026, 10:58 AM Jul 24, 2026, 11:21 AM Jul 24, 2026, 05:30 PM Jul 24, 2026, 06:07 PM Jul 24, 2026, 07:43 PM Jul 24, 2026, 08:23 PM Jul 25, 2026, 07:53 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:10 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:20 PM Jul 26, 2026, 03:18 AM Jul 26, 2026, 05:51 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 26, 2026, 09:28 AM Jul 26, 2026, 04:24 PM Jul 26, 2026, 11:08 PM Jul 27, 2026, 11:32 AM Jul 27, 2026, 11:53 AM Jul 27, 2026, 12:17 PM Jul 27, 2026, 12:44 PM Jul 27, 2026, 02:40 PM Jul 27, 2026, 03:31 PM | — |
tehrantimes.com Other source | 32 | Jul 14, 2026, 03:57 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:33 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:51 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:40 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:40 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:56 PM Jul 15, 2026, 08:14 PM Jul 15, 2026, 09:14 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:14 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:58 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:24 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:53 AM Jul 16, 2026, 05:48 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:33 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:11 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:00 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:23 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:50 PM Jul 16, 2026, 04:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 05:52 PM Jul 16, 2026, 06:08 PM Jul 16, 2026, 07:12 PM Jul 16, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 16, 2026, 09:39 PM Jul 16, 2026, 09:57 PM Jul 16, 2026, 11:32 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:16 AM Jul 17, 2026, 02:17 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:08 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:40 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:08 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:35 AM Jul 17, 2026, 07:49 AM Jul 17, 2026, 08:15 AM Jul 17, 2026, 08:38 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:11 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:52 AM Jul 17, 2026, 10:21 AM Jul 17, 2026, 11:11 AM Jul 17, 2026, 12:18 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:13 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:39 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:49 PM Jul 17, 2026, 05:27 PM Jul 17, 2026, 06:43 PM Jul 19, 2026, 09:09 PM Jul 19, 2026, 11:50 PM Jul 20, 2026, 01:05 PM Jul 20, 2026, 06:19 PM Jul 21, 2026, 02:09 AM Jul 21, 2026, 08:57 PM Jul 22, 2026, 11:17 AM Jul 22, 2026, 08:30 PM Jul 23, 2026, 09:16 AM Jul 24, 2026, 09:09 AM Jul 24, 2026, 10:58 AM Jul 24, 2026, 11:21 AM Jul 24, 2026, 05:30 PM Jul 24, 2026, 06:07 PM Jul 24, 2026, 07:43 PM Jul 24, 2026, 08:23 PM Jul 25, 2026, 07:53 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:10 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:20 PM Jul 26, 2026, 03:18 AM Jul 26, 2026, 05:51 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 26, 2026, 09:28 AM Jul 26, 2026, 04:24 PM Jul 27, 2026, 11:32 AM Jul 27, 2026, 03:31 PM | — |
Rina Bassist Other source | 31 as of Jul 16, 2026 | Jul 16, 2026, 03:24 AM | — |
TOI World Desk Other source | 29 | Aug 16, 2026, 07:40 AM | — |
Yossi Gurvitz Other source | 28 | Aug 18, 2026, 03:19 PM | — |
Jason Burke Other source | 27 as of Jul 17, 2026 | Jul 17, 2026, 01:39 PM | — |
theconversation.com Other source | 24 | — | — |
Douglas E. Schoen and Saul Mangel, opinion contributors Other source | 21 as of Jul 16, 2026 | Jul 16, 2026, 05:48 AM | — |
Presstv Other source | 0 as of Jul 16, 2026 | Jul 16, 2026, 03:53 AM | — |
Raed Other source | 0 | Aug 9, 2026, 03:11 AM | — |
alquds.co.uk Other source | 0 | — | — |
AFP; Jun Other source | 0 | Aug 17, 2026, 01:37 AM | — |
Main disagreement
High confidence — Hananya Naftali.Low confidence — Anna Barsky, Ynetnews, Al Jazeera.
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- The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.Last updated: Aug 18, 2026Open→
- At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list.Last updated: Aug 20, 2026Open→
- A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.Last updated: Aug 17, 2026Open→
- Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.Last updated: Aug 20, 2026Open→
- The Blue and White party, led by Benny Gantz, will announce by the end of August 2026 that it will not run in the next elections as an independent party.Last updated: Aug 20, 2026Open→
- Benny Gantz's party will run in the 2026 elections without an electoral alliance with another party until the deadline for submitting lists to the Central Elections Committee.Last updated: Aug 20, 2026Open→
- The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026.Last updated: Jul 16, 2026Resolved→