DaatanElections 2026

A running track record of political judgmentOutlet

Outlet

Le Monde

About

French daily newspaper founded in 1944; the most widely read paid national daily in France.

Wikipedia lemonde.fr

How accurate has Le Monde been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.

Forecasts covered

9 / 27

Articles cited

7

Brier / Track Record

—

Last seen

Oct 2, 2026

Forecast	Confidence	Confidence Over Time
Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.	72
The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.	59
Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.	57
Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.	55
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.	52
Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.	49
In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.	42
In the next Knesset elections, no single party will receive more than 25 seats.	42
Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.	35

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