A running record of political judgmentOutlet
Outlet
Walla
About
Israeli news and web portal; owned by The Jerusalem Post, and by Bezeq until 2020.
How accurate has Walla been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.
Tracked contributors at this outlet
Forecasts covered
10 / 11
Articles cited
60
Brier / Track Record
0.03
Excellent (1)
Last seen
Aug 19, 2026
| Forecast | Confidence | Confidence Over Time |
|---|---|---|
| Benny Gantz's party will run in the 2026 elections without an electoral alliance with another party until the deadline for submitting lists to the Central Elections Committee. | 77 | Jul 17, 2026, 10:22 AM Jul 17, 2026, 11:05 AM Jul 29, 2026, 01:31 PM |
| At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list. | 75 | Aug 13, 2026, 11:23 PM Aug 17, 2026, 10:34 AM Aug 19, 2026, 04:45 PM |
| Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list. | 71 | Jul 14, 2026, 01:35 PM Jul 16, 2026, 06:40 PM Jul 30, 2026, 10:37 PM Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 PM Aug 6, 2026, 05:28 PM Aug 6, 2026, 06:38 PM Aug 12, 2026, 10:34 AM Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 PM Aug 16, 2026, 06:58 PM Aug 17, 2026, 10:37 AM Aug 19, 2026, 02:38 PM |
| Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026. | 59 | Jul 14, 2026, 09:18 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:24 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:11 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 27, 2026, 02:40 PM Aug 11, 2026, 04:00 PM Aug 18, 2026, 01:11 PM Aug 19, 2026, 05:05 PM |
| A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026. | 55 | Jul 16, 2026, 04:55 PM Jul 29, 2026, 01:27 PM Jul 29, 2026, 05:10 PM Aug 1, 2026, 01:02 PM Aug 4, 2026, 09:33 PM Aug 5, 2026, 04:36 PM Aug 9, 2026, 05:51 PM Aug 11, 2026, 09:59 AM Aug 16, 2026, 12:34 PM Aug 17, 2026, 08:06 AM Aug 17, 2026, 10:39 AM Aug 17, 2026, 11:41 AM |
| A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030. | 52 | Jul 5, 2026, 05:14 PM Jul 12, 2026, 06:48 PM Jul 13, 2026, 10:06 AM Jul 14, 2026, 11:16 AM Jul 14, 2026, 03:57 PM Jul 16, 2026, 10:59 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:54 PM Jul 21, 2026, 10:01 AM Jul 21, 2026, 09:44 PM Jul 26, 2026, 12:10 PM Jul 27, 2026, 12:43 PM Aug 2, 2026, 02:07 PM |
| Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026. | 49 | Jul 14, 2026, 08:15 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:39 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:02 PM Jul 16, 2026, 07:39 AM Jul 17, 2026, 09:54 AM Jul 19, 2026, 11:35 AM Jul 20, 2026, 04:12 PM Jul 21, 2026, 09:24 AM Jul 28, 2026, 08:06 AM Jul 30, 2026, 06:54 PM Aug 3, 2026, 05:56 AM Aug 9, 2026, 03:49 PM Aug 9, 2026, 05:06 PM Aug 9, 2026, 09:58 PM Aug 10, 2026, 11:18 AM Aug 11, 2026, 09:59 AM Aug 16, 2026, 08:36 AM Aug 17, 2026, 08:06 AM Aug 18, 2026, 12:20 PM |
| Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026. | 41 | Jul 12, 2026, 07:56 PM Jul 13, 2026, 01:46 PM Jul 13, 2026, 05:52 PM Jul 13, 2026, 06:03 PM Jul 14, 2026, 12:46 PM Jul 14, 2026, 01:53 PM Jul 14, 2026, 03:53 PM Jul 14, 2026, 05:16 PM Jul 14, 2026, 05:45 PM Jul 14, 2026, 09:40 PM Jul 14, 2026, 09:53 PM Jul 15, 2026, 12:08 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:01 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:30 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:40 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:28 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:54 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:19 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:00 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:25 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:10 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:49 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:16 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:39 PM Jul 15, 2026, 02:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:18 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:32 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:27 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:17 PM Jul 15, 2026, 09:41 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:16 PM Jul 16, 2026, 01:26 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:53 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:56 PM Jul 16, 2026, 04:55 PM Jul 16, 2026, 10:58 PM Jul 17, 2026, 09:23 AM Jul 18, 2026, 06:39 AM Jul 19, 2026, 09:45 PM Jul 21, 2026, 02:27 AM Jul 21, 2026, 09:25 AM Jul 21, 2026, 09:42 AM Jul 21, 2026, 10:18 AM Jul 21, 2026, 08:59 PM Jul 21, 2026, 09:44 PM Jul 24, 2026, 08:22 AM Jul 24, 2026, 08:54 AM Jul 24, 2026, 03:08 PM Jul 25, 2026, 11:10 PM Jul 26, 2026, 05:52 AM Jul 26, 2026, 06:10 AM Jul 28, 2026, 07:46 AM Jul 31, 2026, 08:31 AM Aug 4, 2026, 09:37 PM Aug 7, 2026, 11:45 AM Aug 9, 2026, 09:59 PM Aug 10, 2026, 11:19 AM Aug 11, 2026, 09:59 AM Aug 16, 2026, 08:37 AM Aug 17, 2026, 08:06 AM Aug 18, 2026, 12:20 PM |
| The Blue and White party, led by Benny Gantz, will announce by the end of August 2026 that it will not run in the next elections as an independent party. | 35 | Aug 6, 2026, 04:08 PM |
| The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026. | 17 | Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:26 AM |