A running record of political judgmentOutlet
Outlet
BBC News
About
The British Broadcasting Corporation's news division, the world's largest broadcast news organisation.
How accurate has BBC News been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.
Forecasts covered
3 / 11
Articles cited
3
Brier / Track Record
—
Last seen
Aug 17, 2026
| Forecast | Confidence | Confidence Over Time |
|---|---|---|
| Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026. | 65 | Aug 17, 2026, 05:21 AM |
| Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026. | 62 | Aug 17, 2026, 06:09 AM |
| Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026. | 49 |