A running record of political judgmentOutlet
Outlet

Al Jazeera

About

Qatari news media network headquartered in Doha; its flagship channels are Al Jazeera Arabic and Al Jazeera English.

How accurate has Al Jazeera been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.

Forecasts covered
10 / 11
Articles cited
54
Brier / Track Record
0.17
Good (1)
Last seen
Aug 21, 2026
ForecastConfidenceConfidence Over Time
Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.
100
At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list.
56
A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.
56
Benny Gantz's party will run in the 2026 elections without an electoral alliance with another party until the deadline for submitting lists to the Central Elections Committee.
48
The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
44
The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026.
41
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
38
Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.
36
Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.
35
A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.
33

Recent articles