Israel National News

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Israeli media network identifying with religious Zionism; publishes in Hebrew, English, Arabic and Russian.

How accurate has Israel National News been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.

Forecasts covered

17 / 27

Articles cited

Brier / Track Record

0.34

Poor (7)

Last seen

Sep 7, 2026

Forecast	Confidence	Confidence Over Time
In the next Knesset elections, no single party will receive more than 25 seats.	86
Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.	80
At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list.	74
Yoav Segalovitz will be a candidate on the Ra'am party list in the next Knesset elections.	70
Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.	66
The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.	65
A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.	65
At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.	65
Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.	63
Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.	61
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.	60
In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.	56
By August 18, 2026, the Yeshar Party will lead Likud in at least two different national mandate polls, and in at least one of these polls, the lead will be two mandates or more.	44
Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.	39
Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.	27
A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.	20
Itamar Ben-Gvir will not reserve a spot for Hanoch Milwidsky on the Otzma Yehudit party list for the next general elections in Israel.	0

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