A running record of political judgmentOutlet
Outlet
Israel National News
About
Israeli media network identifying with religious Zionism; publishes in Hebrew, English, Arabic and Russian.
How accurate has Israel National News been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.
Forecasts covered
7 / 11
Articles cited
33
Brier / Track Record
—
Last seen
Aug 21, 2026
| Forecast | Confidence | Confidence Over Time |
|---|---|---|
| A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026. | 80 | Jul 8, 2026, 07:52 PM Jul 9, 2026, 06:56 AM Jul 9, 2026, 04:11 PM Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM Jul 13, 2026, 04:04 AM Jul 13, 2026, 12:06 PM Jul 13, 2026, 09:19 PM Jul 14, 2026, 12:27 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:26 PM Jul 15, 2026, 02:57 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:34 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:29 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:40 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:52 AM Jul 20, 2026, 07:40 PM Jul 21, 2026, 12:20 PM Jul 22, 2026, 01:15 PM Jul 24, 2026, 01:31 PM |
| At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list. | 73 | Jul 27, 2026, 05:55 PM Aug 17, 2026, 05:15 PM Aug 20, 2026, 12:31 AM |
| Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list. | 71 | Jul 7, 2026, 04:35 PM Jul 14, 2026, 12:48 PM Jul 14, 2026, 05:07 PM Jul 14, 2026, 05:49 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:48 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:22 PM Jul 15, 2026, 12:48 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:54 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:50 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:15 PM Jul 15, 2026, 09:03 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 PM Jul 15, 2026, 10:41 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:07 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:55 PM Jul 16, 2026, 06:40 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:19 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:39 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:01 AM Jul 17, 2026, 05:37 AM Jul 17, 2026, 10:45 AM Jul 17, 2026, 01:19 PM Jul 18, 2026, 12:28 AM Jul 18, 2026, 01:41 AM Jul 19, 2026, 09:22 PM Jul 21, 2026, 09:46 PM Jul 22, 2026, 08:47 AM Jul 22, 2026, 12:36 PM Jul 22, 2026, 04:16 PM Jul 22, 2026, 11:15 PM Jul 23, 2026, 12:40 PM Jul 24, 2026, 12:20 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:53 AM Jul 26, 2026, 10:36 AM Aug 6, 2026, 03:51 AM Aug 17, 2026, 05:15 PM Aug 19, 2026, 02:38 PM |
| A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030. | 60 | Aug 2, 2026, 02:22 PM |
| Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026. | 53 | Jul 10, 2026, 12:08 AM Jul 12, 2026, 08:38 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:17 PM Jul 14, 2026, 08:58 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:11 AM Jul 15, 2026, 01:36 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:29 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:23 AM Jul 15, 2026, 03:48 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:56 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:42 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:58 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:54 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:04 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:10 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:59 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:21 PM Jul 16, 2026, 05:48 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:17 AM Jul 16, 2026, 06:08 PM Jul 16, 2026, 07:12 PM Jul 24, 2026, 05:30 PM Jul 27, 2026, 11:32 AM Jul 27, 2026, 11:53 AM Jul 27, 2026, 12:44 PM Jul 27, 2026, 02:40 PM Jul 27, 2026, 03:31 PM |
| Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026. | 39 | Jul 3, 2026, 09:34 AM Jul 4, 2026, 09:59 PM Jul 5, 2026, 09:14 PM Jul 10, 2026, 12:15 AM Jul 10, 2026, 05:32 AM Jul 10, 2026, 07:32 AM Jul 11, 2026, 07:11 PM Jul 11, 2026, 10:12 PM Jul 12, 2026, 05:32 PM Jul 12, 2026, 06:48 PM Jul 12, 2026, 08:46 PM Jul 12, 2026, 09:37 PM Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 PM Jul 13, 2026, 01:04 PM Jul 13, 2026, 01:46 PM Jul 13, 2026, 09:16 PM Jul 13, 2026, 09:27 PM Jul 14, 2026, 12:09 PM Jul 14, 2026, 12:47 PM Jul 14, 2026, 01:09 PM Jul 14, 2026, 01:32 PM Jul 15, 2026, 12:13 PM Jul 19, 2026, 09:47 PM Jul 20, 2026, 04:12 PM Jul 26, 2026, 10:44 PM Aug 3, 2026, 10:38 PM Aug 15, 2026, 12:06 PM Aug 17, 2026, 05:13 PM Aug 18, 2026, 04:16 AM Aug 18, 2026, 11:25 PM |
| Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026. | 32 | Jul 3, 2026, 10:17 AM Jul 4, 2026, 10:00 PM Jul 5, 2026, 09:14 PM Jul 8, 2026, 12:17 AM Jul 9, 2026, 12:38 PM Jul 10, 2026, 07:32 AM Jul 10, 2026, 02:56 PM Jul 12, 2026, 05:16 PM Jul 12, 2026, 05:22 PM Jul 12, 2026, 05:32 PM Jul 12, 2026, 05:47 PM Jul 12, 2026, 07:56 PM Jul 12, 2026, 08:16 PM Jul 12, 2026, 09:38 PM Jul 13, 2026, 01:46 PM Jul 13, 2026, 05:52 PM Jul 13, 2026, 06:03 PM Jul 14, 2026, 12:46 PM Jul 14, 2026, 01:53 PM Jul 14, 2026, 03:53 PM Jul 14, 2026, 05:16 PM Jul 14, 2026, 05:45 PM Jul 14, 2026, 06:29 PM Jul 14, 2026, 09:40 PM Jul 14, 2026, 09:53 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:47 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:16 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:01 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:30 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:55 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:40 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:28 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:54 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:19 AM Jul 15, 2026, 07:44 AM Jul 15, 2026, 08:06 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:00 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:25 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:18 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:10 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:49 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:16 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:16 PM Jul 15, 2026, 01:39 PM Jul 15, 2026, 02:02 PM Jul 15, 2026, 02:45 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:18 PM Jul 15, 2026, 03:32 PM Jul 15, 2026, 04:27 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:17 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:48 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:42 PM Jul 15, 2026, 08:19 PM Jul 15, 2026, 09:16 PM Jul 15, 2026, 11:16 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:59 AM Jul 16, 2026, 01:26 AM Jul 16, 2026, 02:22 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:21 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:53 AM Jul 16, 2026, 07:06 AM Jul 16, 2026, 07:39 AM Jul 16, 2026, 08:07 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:27 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:53 AM Jul 16, 2026, 12:28 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:45 PM Jul 16, 2026, 02:33 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:25 PM Jul 16, 2026, 04:55 PM Jul 16, 2026, 05:50 PM Jul 16, 2026, 06:15 PM Jul 17, 2026, 12:55 AM Jul 17, 2026, 04:44 AM Jul 17, 2026, 06:09 AM Jul 17, 2026, 01:36 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:40 PM Jul 17, 2026, 01:56 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:01 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:21 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:47 PM Jul 17, 2026, 07:32 PM Jul 18, 2026, 06:39 AM Jul 18, 2026, 09:02 AM Jul 18, 2026, 08:48 PM Jul 19, 2026, 09:45 PM Jul 20, 2026, 12:45 AM Jul 20, 2026, 01:24 PM Jul 20, 2026, 10:38 PM Jul 21, 2026, 02:27 AM Jul 21, 2026, 09:25 AM Jul 21, 2026, 09:42 AM Jul 21, 2026, 10:18 AM Jul 21, 2026, 06:05 PM Jul 21, 2026, 08:59 PM Jul 22, 2026, 04:05 PM Jul 23, 2026, 11:07 AM Jul 24, 2026, 08:22 AM Jul 25, 2026, 11:10 PM Jul 26, 2026, 05:52 AM Jul 26, 2026, 08:27 AM Jul 26, 2026, 10:44 PM Jul 27, 2026, 12:21 PM Jul 28, 2026, 12:30 AM Aug 3, 2026, 01:22 PM Aug 3, 2026, 10:38 PM Aug 7, 2026, 11:45 AM Aug 9, 2026, 05:40 AM Aug 14, 2026, 07:21 AM Aug 15, 2026, 04:01 PM Aug 17, 2026, 10:34 AM Aug 17, 2026, 05:12 PM Aug 18, 2026, 03:15 AM Aug 18, 2026, 04:16 AM Aug 18, 2026, 05:18 AM Aug 18, 2026, 11:25 PM Aug 21, 2026, 09:01 AM |