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Middle East Eye
About
United Kingdom-based news website covering the Middle East, North Africa and the wider Muslim world.
How accurate has Middle East Eye been on 2026 election calls? We track every prediction they make and score it once the outcome is known.
Forecasts covered
6 / 11
Articles cited
14
Brier / Track Record
0
Excellent (1)
Last seen
Aug 20, 2026
| Forecast | Confidence | Confidence Over Time |
|---|---|---|
| The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026. | 77 | Jul 14, 2026, 04:08 PM Jul 15, 2026, 06:26 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:34 PM Jul 17, 2026, 11:20 AM Jul 20, 2026, 04:12 PM Aug 7, 2026, 09:47 AM |
| Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026. | 53 | Jul 14, 2026, 01:32 PM Jul 15, 2026, 12:31 AM Jul 15, 2026, 12:52 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:04 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:00 AM Jul 15, 2026, 06:49 AM Jul 15, 2026, 09:06 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:24 AM Jul 15, 2026, 10:49 AM Jul 15, 2026, 11:39 AM Jul 15, 2026, 02:33 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:15 PM Jul 15, 2026, 05:47 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:16 PM Jul 15, 2026, 08:08 PM Jul 15, 2026, 09:05 PM Jul 16, 2026, 12:32 AM Jul 16, 2026, 05:49 AM Jul 16, 2026, 10:20 AM Jul 16, 2026, 03:32 PM Jul 17, 2026, 02:21 PM Jul 21, 2026, 06:05 PM Jul 21, 2026, 08:49 PM Jul 21, 2026, 09:17 PM Jul 22, 2026, 12:15 AM Jul 24, 2026, 09:10 AM Jul 25, 2026, 11:11 PM Jul 26, 2026, 02:32 AM Jul 26, 2026, 03:19 AM Jul 26, 2026, 03:35 AM Jul 26, 2026, 11:38 AM Jul 26, 2026, 11:26 PM |
| At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list. | 52 | Aug 7, 2026, 09:48 AM Aug 20, 2026, 01:31 PM |
| Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026. | 52 | Jun 15, 2026, 10:21 PM Jun 19, 2026, 10:03 PM Jul 14, 2026, 11:41 AM Jul 15, 2026, 05:01 AM Jul 15, 2026, 04:21 PM Jul 15, 2026, 07:40 PM Jul 16, 2026, 03:23 PM Jul 17, 2026, 09:52 AM Jul 27, 2026, 03:31 PM Jul 29, 2026, 12:41 AM Jul 29, 2026, 09:49 AM |
| A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026. | 48 | Aug 20, 2026, 01:31 PM |
| The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026. | 0 | Jul 14, 2026, 06:28 PM |
Recent articles
- Three palestinian parties israel form joint list ahead elections middleeasteye.netAug 20, 2026At least two Arab parties will run in the 2026 elections as a joint list.
- Why israels opposition no longer wants palestinian parties government middleeasteye.netAug 7, 2026The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
- Netanyahu doubles down visiting new york despite mamdanis calls his middleeasteye.netJul 29, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
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- Us iran deal leaves israel isolated and netanyahu exposed middleeasteye.netJul 17, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
- Israeli opposition to secure narrow majority new election poll middleeasteye.netJul 16, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
- Netanyahu fights survival after iran setback and us deal middleeasteye.netJul 15, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
- Fighting political survival netanyahu takes aim state institutions middleeasteye.netJul 15, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
- Netanyahu says there no room two states middleeasteye.netJul 15, 2026Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
- Even if netanyahu voted out israels ethnic cleansing agenda will continue apace middleeasteye.netJul 14, 2026The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
- Israel hold elections october 27 knesset says middleeasteye.netJul 14, 2026Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.