A running track record of political judgmentSingle Forecast View
Status: OpenExpected resolution date: Oct 28, 2026Last updated: Aug 29, 2026
The voting percentage of Haredi Jews will be higher than that of non-Haredi Jews in the Israeli elections on October 27, 2026.
What is the probability that The voting percentage of Haredi Jews will be higher than that of non-Haredi Jews in the Israeli elections on October 27, 2026? As of Aug 29, 2026: the AI estimate is 88%; the tracked-source panel average is 88%.
Resolution trigger: Final deadline for submitting candidate lists
AI estimate
88%
Who called it — by source
Panel average: 88%| Source / Person | Confidence | Confidence Over Time | Brier / Track Record |
|---|---|---|---|
Srugim Outlet | 88 | Aug 29, 2026, 04:54 PM | — |
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