DaatanElections 2026

A running track record of political judgmentBy author

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Nadav Eyal

Election predictions and coverage by Nadav Eyal

7 articles

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Forecasts covered

Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.
In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.
Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.
At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.
The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.
The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.
Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.
Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.
A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.
A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.
Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.
Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.

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